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| Symbol | Bid | Ask | Spread |
| 109.300 | 109.311 | 1.1 | |
| 109.300 | 109.311 | 1.1 | |
| 1.28109 | 1.28120 | 1.1 | |
| 0.96329 | 0.96344 | 1.5 | |
| 1.25335 | 1.25356 | 2.1 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.5 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.5 |
| Symbol | Bid | Ask | Spread |
| 1.28109 | 1.28120 | 1.1 | |
| 0.96329 | 0.96344 | 1.5 | |
| 1.25335 | 1.25356 | 2.1 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.5 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 |
| Symbol | Bid | Ask | Spread |
| 1.25335 | 1.25356 | 2.1 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.5 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 |
| Symbol | Bid | Ask | Spread |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.5 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 |
| Symbol | Bid | Ask | Spread |
| 1.25335 | 1.25356 | 2.1 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.5 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 | |
| 0.78958 | 0.78973 | 1.8 |




Trump will meet with Xi again in NovemberXi: US-China relationship will be one of strategic stability based on respect, fairness and reciprocitySeptember final UMich consumer sentiment 48.1 vs 47.6 expectedUSTR's Greer: We have reached agreements with China on a sub-set of goods we can tradeUS August durable goods orders 0.0% vs -0.4% expectedPlan for your new trading week ahead in the forex with a technical look at some of the major pairsMarkets:US 10-year yields up 2.6 bps 5.16%WTI crude oil down $2.15 to $92.44Gold up $8 to $4286JPY leads, NZD lagsS&P 500 up 0.5%The main market moving events were verbal intervention on the yen, sending USD/JPY down more than 150 pips on the day. That didn't appear to be followed by any actions so it's a bit of a game of chicken at the moment. The market was surely wary of a late-Friday round of USD/JPY official selling, similar to the one we saw earlier this year. In any case, there were no late buyers as there is also the threat of intervention at the open on Sunday.In general, the dollar was a touch softer as inflation worries eased. The main reason for that was yet-another set of headlines about Iran peace talks. There's plenty of skepticism but oil fell more than $3 from the highs, so there are believers out there. This seems like the final effort at diplomacy for the US side as the midterms provide something of a deadline, and Republican polling numbers are poor due to inflation and an unpopular war.In equity markets, we saw some profit taking in the hottest names so far this month like Meta and Intel while some of the laggards like Booking, CVS and PayPal made strong gains. That looks more like degrossing than a changed view on the economy but it was still enough to drive a solid day of gains, despite some up-and-down moves to start the day. Obviously, the Iran hopes were helping here as well, along with a retreat from the +5.20% highs in 10-year yields.Have a great weekend. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Trump says he will meet with Xi again in November and then again at the G20 in DDecember in Miami. Trump said the meeting was one of friendship, strength and success for both the USA and China. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Bitcoin is trading modestly lower after an earlier attempt to move higher lost momentum. The price reached a high of $85,238 before falling to $83,161. It is currently near $83,787, down about $600, or 0.71%, on the day.The technical question is whether buyers can defend the breakout from earlier this week.Buyers defend the breakout areaOn Tuesday, Bitcoin moved above a swing area between $81,517 and $82,833 and extended its gains to about $87,335. That upside momentum faded, and the price has since rotated back toward the area it broke through.Yesterday and again today, buyers stepped in near the top of that zone. Today’s low of $83,161 remained above $82,833.Why the retest mattersA retest after a breakout gives traders a chance to see whether a former ceiling can become a floor. Buyers who missed the initial move may look to enter near the broken resistance, while traders who bought the breakout want to see that level hold.As long as Bitcoin stays above $82,833, buyers can argue that the pullback is a test of support. A move back above today’s high at $85,238 would give that argument more weight and bring the high near $87,335 back into view.The levels that shift control to sellersIf Bitcoin breaks below $82,833 and then moves through the lower end of the swing area at $81,517, the picture changes. Traders who bought the breakout would be holding a losing position, and some may look to exit. That could add to the selling pressure.The next targets would be the 100- and 200-hour moving averages, between $79,926 and $79,365. A break below both moving averages would shift the bias further in favor of the sellers.For now, buyers have held support, but they have not regained the upside momentum. The swing area is the barometer: stay above it and buyers remain in the game; break below it and the failed breakout becomes the bigger story.In the video above, I review the Bitcoin technicals and outline the levels that will help determine which side takes control next. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW We haven’t got major idiosyncratic catalysts for Ethereum this week, but we did have it on the macro side. The positive risk sentiment stemming from the sharp decline in oil prices prior to the UN General Assembly had been supporting the crypto market on easing inflation and rate hike concerns. Unfortunately, Trump poured some cold water on expectations of an earlier end to the Iran war after he repeated that the US would make a deal with Tehran after the November elections. Oil prices, Treasury yields and the US dollar started to rise again after his remarks and weighed risk assets like cryptocurrencies. The optimism returned yesterday, though, following the news that Iran has put an offer on the table, promising to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US meets its terms. Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi is staying in New York over the weekend to await a US response. A breakthrough would be positive for Ethereum as the aggressive rate hike bets will likely get pared back on easing inflation concerns. A prolonged stalemate or even a re-escalation, on the other hand, will likely continue to put pressure on the crypto market on tightening financial conditions. ETHEREUM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that Ethereumhas been pulling back in the past few days as macro conditions turned negative. We have a major upward trendline around the 2,560 support that makes that technical zone very strong. If we get a pullback into the support, we can expect the buyers to step in with a defined risk below the trendline to position for a rally into the 3,000 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking below the trendline to pile in for a drop into the 2,360 level next. ETHEREUM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see that the bearish momentum increased as the sellers piled in on the break below the upward trendline that was defining the bullish momentum. From a risk management perspective, the buyers will have a better risk to reward setup around the support and the major trendline to keep targeting new highs, while the sellers will look for a break below it to extend the correction into the 2,360 level next.ETHEREUM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we have a minor resistance zone around the 2,710 level. The sellers will likely step in there with a defined risk above the resistance to keep pushing into the 2,560 support. The buyers, on the other hand, will want to see the price breaking higher to pile in for a rally into new highs.UPCOMING CATALYSTSToday we don’t have anything on the agenda, but traders will keep a close eye on US-Iran developments after yesterday’s proposal of reopening the Strait of Hormuz under certain conditions. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.
Nearly $18 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options are expiring today, making this one of the largest quarterly settlements of the year. While an options expiry does not automatically mean that Bitcoin or Ethereum will rise or fall, large settlements can temporarily change the market's liquidity and hedging dynamics. Understanding how options work helps explain why crypto markets can experience unusual price action and volatility around major expiry dates.What are options?Options are derivatives that give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price before or at expiration. A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at a specific strike price, while a put option gives the buyer the right to sell it.For example, suppose Bitcoin is trading at $85,000 and a trader owns a $90,000 call option. If Bitcoin rises above $90,000, the option becomes increasingly valuable. If Bitcoin remains below $90,000 at expiration, the option can expire worthless. The opposite applies to put options. Traders use these instruments to speculate on price direction, hedge existing positions or trade volatility without directly buying or selling Bitcoin or Ethereum.How they can impact the market?Market makers and dealers frequently take the other side of options trades. To manage their exposure, they can hedge their positions using the underlying asset or futures. This creates a direct connection between the options market and spot Bitcoin.For example, if dealers are short a large amount of call options and Bitcoin starts moving higher, their exposure can become increasingly sensitive to further gains. Dealers may then need to buy Bitcoin to remain hedged. This can create a feedback loop in which Bitcoin rises, dealer hedging generates additional buying, and that buying pushes Bitcoin higher, creating the need for further hedging.This is one reason options positioning can amplify price movements around certain strike prices. The effect is sometimes described through the concept of gamma, which measures how quickly an option's sensitivity to the underlying asset changes as the price moves.Once the options expire, those positions cease to exist. The associated hedges can then be reduced, closed or rolled into later-dated contracts. This can change the flow of buying and selling in the underlying market.Why today's expiry is significant?Today's expiry is particularly significant because around $15.9 billion of Bitcoin options and $2.1 billion of Ethereum options are scheduled to expire. The Bitcoin expiry alone represents roughly 37% of Deribit's outstanding Bitcoin open interest.The September Bitcoin options book is also call-heavy, with a put/call open-interest ratio of 0.69. A large portion of the call positioning is concentrated around the $85,000, $90,000, $95,000 and $100,000 strikes. With Bitcoin trading around the mid-$80,000s, these positions are becoming particularly relevant.Before expiry, this positioning can influence the market through dealer hedging. If dealers need to buy or sell the underlying asset as Bitcoin moves through important strike prices, those flows can reinforce the existing price move or temporarily keep the market around certain levels.The effect can also extend beyond Bitcoin. Bitcoin remains the largest and most liquid cryptocurrency, so changes in BTC volatility and direction can quickly influence broader crypto-market sentiment. Ethereum can also experience its own options-related flows, while smaller cryptocurrencies can react to changes in overall risk appetite.This is particularly important when the options market is heavily positioned in one direction. A call-heavy book can contribute to upside momentum through dealer hedging while prices are rising. Once those calls expire that mechanical source of buying can disappear. The same principle works in reverse when a market is heavily positioned through puts. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.
Last week, the US Senate held a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, which unsurprisingly failed to pass, as Republicans hold 53 seats while 60 votes were needed, and Democrats weren’t exactly supportive of the bill or the crypto sector as a whole. Hence, the market initially dipped, but it didn’t last long since this was already priced in. For the same reason, crypto barely reacted to the Fed raising rates. Still, that doesn’t explain where the optimism came from, and there are a few theories.The first is that part of the boost may have come from the US House Financial Services Committee's approval of a bill to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve. It can now go to a vote in the full House, and if it passes, it would still need to clear the Senate and get the president’s signature. If passed, the Bitcoin in the reserve couldn’t be sold, exchanged, or pledged for 20 years.The thing is, according to Arkham, the government currently holds around 324,500 BTC worth almost $29 billion, which sounds like a lot but is still small compared with Bitcoin’s $1.72 trillion market cap. And importantly, there’s still no talk of buying more Bitcoin for the reserve. Second, some point to Coinbase’s CEO saying, “We can’t wait for senators forever. We don’t need the CLARITY Act anymore. We’ll turn to regulators. The SEC and CFTC will develop clear rules.”Although that could have given the market a boost, it’s still hard to see how they could bypass Congress and go straight to the SEC and CFTC for clear rules. A bigger factor may have been short sellers, with $648 million in positions liquidated in just 24 hours. As for what to expect next, the breakeven point for US spot Bitcoin ETFs is around $85,638–86,000, so holding above $86,000 is key to maintaining momentum. The only problem is that there aren’t many fundamentals for that.On the regulatory side, there’s not much to be optimistic about either. The Fed has already raised rates and could do it again if inflation stays high. The bigger issue is that if Democrats win the midterms, pro-crypto legislation could become harder to pass, and the president could also face impeachment.So it’s still too early to talk about Bitcoin price getting back above $100,000, but if risk-on returns, for example after the Iran conflict ends, it could benefit. This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com.